Wednesday, 29 May 2013

Monaco in hindsight


This column is linked to the forecast and will be a regular feature that looks back at some of the predictions made and other issues arising from the race just gone, in this case Monaco.

Just for a moment, let’s forget about the whole tyre testing debacle that’s engulfing Mercedes right now. They had scored pole position in the three previous races and yet pretty much sank down the field without trace. Not in the principality though.

Here they knew exactly what they needed to do. After locking out the front row they set a slow pace to look after the tyres. Sebastian Vettel described it as being stuck behind a bus. But when they needed to be quick such as around the pit stops, they used the pace they’d kept in reserve.

Nico Rosberg in particular was able to open up a gap at will and then control it from then on. It was impressive driving. The only thing denying them a 1-2 was a safety car and Lewis Hamilton holding back in the pit lane just that little bit too long.

So now let’s return to the tyre testing. The tyres didn’t affect Mercedes in the way they had, was this because of the Pirelli test? I don’t believe so. As I’ve said before Mercedes struggled with tyre wear last year and yet were competitive in Monaco. This is because Monaco has a less abrasive surface and is full of slow corners.

This means that the energy going through the tyres is significantly less. It could well be the same in Canada which is all about traction onto long straights, something the Mercedes had already proved it was good with in Spain’s final twisty sector. The surface is also similar to Monaco, so they could be in line for another decent showing.

However, it was noted that by rival teams that Mercedes were approaching their use of the tyres differently but I don’t think we’ve seen the last of their tyre issues. They’ve said so themselves but it seems to me it’s something inherently built into the car. It can’t be pure coincidence that the last 2-3 years they’ve suffered with excessive tyre wear.

Which makes the tyre test even more significant; if they had been told by the FIA they can use their 2013 car (in the regulations if you’re going to test you have to use a 2 year old car as Ferrari did in Bahrain when Pirelli asked them to test some tyres, as current cars in season testing is banned) on the condition the test was available to everyone, then to fail to do so does make it seem, as Red Bull put it, underhand even if they had some sort of approval.

The other condition the FIA specified was that the car would be run by Pirelli, this did not happen. You’re always learning in Formula 1 even if Mercedes didn’t know the compounds they were running and most of the compounds were for next year although one could have been used in Canada too but it has been recently announced will not be used.

You begin to see why the other teams are in such uproar about it. It looks as if this case will go to the International Tribunal, an independent body separate from the FIA. They will assess the report from the Monaco stewards and can hand out penalties including fines, bans and exclusions.

I would think a significant fine will be handed out if they are found guilty as surely they won’t hurt a manufacturer which has been so supportive of Formula 1 and will be supplying a great deal of the grid with new regulation engines next year.

We got our first safety car of the year in Monaco, in fact we got two safety car periods and a red flag to boot. So at least that was something I got right but it was fairly obvious. If we have a quick run through some of the other predictions 
I made I said tyres wouldn’t be as significant a talking point. Well I got that bit slightly wrong, although I was talking about them not being such a significant factor in the race.

I thought Mark Webber would be able to outperform Vettel too, but it’s just not working for him this year. He showed great pace all weekend and looked to have a little edge in Thursday’s practice sessions but wasn’t able to get the lap in when it mattered in qualifying. Webber is already 50 points behind Vettel, that’s two race wins. He needs to beat him in Canada otherwise a supporting role will not be far away. Of course whether he’d support Vettel after Malaysia is an entirely different story.

Force India had a good run to get both cars into the points, but it could have been so much better for them. In Q1 Paul di Resta was left stranded on worn tyres as the track conditions improved and he was left down in 17th on the grid. He had looked quick all weekend, and would have been battling higher than the 9th position he was eventually rewarded with. Adrian Sutil did get into Q3 and battled hard from 8th to 5th.

Both McLaren’s did get into Q3, but I said Jenson Button was the one to look out for. I was wrong it was Sergio Perez, I think after the reputation he is picking up at the moment most of the drivers will be keeping an eye on their mirrors for him. I don’t think he was overly aggressive to be honest, but perhaps he is risking a bit too much on occasion, and I don’t think the final move on Kimi Raikkonen into the Nouvelle Chicane was really on, which punctured Kimi’s left rear and lead to Perez’s retirement.

Button managed to grab sixth by the end but it’s now three weekends in a row where arguably, Perez has been the stronger driver. Jenson will be keen to put the young Mexican in his place in Montreal, a track he’s won at in the past.
Perez left a mark on Kimi, but Kimi seems to want to leave a mark on Sergio. He was more than disappointed, Kimi seemed angry, well a laid back angry,  when he suggested that drivers talking to Perez won’t help, ‘maybe someone should punch him in the face’. Kimi would have every right to feel aggrieved as that move dropped him down the field and he went from 4 points off the title lead to 21. Not a good day.

It was a very disappointing weekend for Ferrari too. They have a significantly stronger car than last year, but they are not making the best use of it. They didn’t have the pace on Sunday that has been there all year. Hopefully for them this is just a small blip, because really you could make a strong case why Alonso should be leading the championship, the fact that he isn’t shows the whole team, including Alonso haven’t been at the same level as they were in 2012.

They came into Monaco on a fairly dominant Spanish Grand Prix performance and were one of the favourites to contend for victory, but qualifying is still a problem and the race where Massa suffered a suspension failure and Alonso’s pace was poor was unexpected. Alonso looked asleep as he was passed three times with moves he just didn’t seem capable of reacting too.

Of course being the driver he is I feel sure he’ll be back on top form in Canada, but last year this wouldn’t have happened, he and the team would have maximised everything to get the best result they could, and I think it’s fair to say they could have done better than 7th.

This will all make Sebastian Vettel and Red Bull rather happy. They were probably slower than three teams in Monaco and yet came out with a double podium; not a bad days work. Red Bull are obviously held back by the tyres, that being the case though, they haven’t looked at all like being the fastest out there all year, yet they have come away with 2 victories and are leading both championships quite comfortably at the moment despite their tyre complaints.

Vettel is doing well, in fact he is doing an Alonso of 2012 and is getting the best results that are available to him, he’s not been out of the top four all year whereas Alonso has suffered a retirement and two low top 10 placing’s while Kimi has also had a couple of low top 10 points positions.

Vettel is the only one getting the job done every weekend at the moment, if the rest want to stop him getting a fourth world title, they’re going to have to up their game, and quickly.


all photo's taken from autosport.com 

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